I was right about the Grey Cup and I was right again with the Toronto Centre by-election. Too bad I’m not so lucky with my lottery numbers or courses. *wink*
The byelection in Toronto Centre was essentially a contest between two highly competent but electorally untested left and centre-left candidates. And in a contest between two evenly matched and relatively unknown and/or untested candidates, other factors, x-factors will determine the winner. The x-factor tonight in Toronto Centre was Justin Trudeau.
It was the Trudeau name that energized the Liberals to fight hard to keep their bastion of Toronto Centre/Rosedale. It was the spirit of the Trudeau-era that pushed the Liberals to stave off the oblivion—which their British counterparts had fallen into at the beginning of the 20th century—and to reaffirm their living and breathing existence. Plus, Justin Trudeau is in.
He’s hip. He’s cool. And like his father before he’s steadily building up popular support across social classes on the national level.
While it was nice to finally see Thomas Mulcair finally campaigning in Toronto, who is Thomas Mulcair for Torontonians? Yes, Thomas Mulcair, as we have seen during the Senate-Mike Duffy scandal, has for Andrew Coyne proven to be an excellent parliamentarian. Yes, he asks the right questions from Mr. Harper. Yes, he provokes the right responses. And let us remember that Mulcair is the chosen successor of the late-Jack Layton, who was widely-admired in this city. However, Mr. Mulcair’s political base is in Quebec, and beyond certain enclaves in this city he has little political capital and almost no presence in the Torontonian political consciousness—a consciousness that has been recently preoccupied by City Hall antics.